A couple months ago, KenPom added something called “defensive fingerprint” on each team page. Mr. Pomeroy’s explanation: Defensive Fingerprint attempts to objectively identify the style of a team’s defense. Inputs into the system are the departure from the D-1 norm of the following defensive characteristics… – assist percentage (triple weight, higher means a more likely [...]
Archive for the ‘stats analysis’ Category
Breaking down the defense
Posted in stats analysis, tagged man-to-man defense, tom izzo, zone defense on April 14, 2009 | 8 Comments »
Just how good was MSU's rebounding this season?
Posted in stats analysis, tagged rebounding on April 12, 2009 | 9 Comments »
From a four factors perspective, rebounding was clearly the dominant strength of this year’s MSU basketball team. The team ranked 6th nationally in offensive rebounding percentage and 11th nationally in defensive rebounding percentage. In none of the other six offensive/defensive four factor components did MSU rank higher than 50th nationally. It seems clear that, given [...]
Avoiding the swat
Posted in stats analysis, tagged blocked shots, connecticut, final four, hasheem thabeet, ncaa tournament on April 3, 2009 | 4 Comments »
The scariest piece of UConn’s statistical profile is the number of shots they block. The Huskies swatted away roughly one out of every six (17.2%) shots their opponents attempted from two-point range this season. MSU, meanwhile, improved somewhat this season in avoiding getting their shots blocked, reducing their offensive block% from 9.8% to 8.4%. But [...]
Coffee Talk: Enjoying the Ride
Posted in coffee talk, stats analysis, tagged ncaa tournament on March 30, 2009 | 20 Comments »
It’s now been 30 hours since MSU punched its ticket to the Final Four. And the buzz still hasn’t worn off. Just over 115 hours remain until the team takes the floor in Detroit against the Huskies. So we’ve got plenty of time to break down that match-up. For now, let’s step back and savor [...]
Pop Quiz
Posted in stats analysis, tagged draymond green on March 23, 2009 | 9 Comments »
Among the players in MSU’s regular ten-man rotation: Which player ranks 3rd on the team in offensive rating? Which player ranks 2nd (tie) in defensive rebounding percentage? Which player ranks 4th in assist rate? Which player ranks 3rd in block percentage? Which player ranks 2nd in steal percentage? Which player ranks 2nd in free throw [...]
Coffee Talk: Who Plays on the Wing?
Posted in coffee talk, stats analysis, tagged chris allen, durrell summers, korie lucious on March 19, 2009 | 10 Comments »
Going into NCAA Tournament play, our starting lineup looks like it may finally be completely healthy. Kalin Lucas, Travis Walton, Raymar Morgan, Delvon Roe, and Goran Suton should all be able to play 25-30 minutes per game at near 100%. (Roe is perhaps the exception to this statement, but he’s certainly as ready to contribute [...]
Wednesday Night Musings
Posted in links, stats analysis on March 11, 2009 | 5 Comments »
Wednesday Night Links Kalin Lucas is OK despite bruised hand Please, no more injuries. Conference Check: Final Reality Edition We finished in a tie with Illinois for lowest defensive efficiency in the Big Ten (more on that below). Conference Tournament Odds: Log5 Style BP’s system gives us a 33.7% chance of winning the BTT title. [...]
On inconsistency (or the lack thereof)
Posted in stats analysis, tagged consistency on February 26, 2009 | 5 Comments »
Following last night’s narrower-than-expected win, I’ve seen several observers (both here and elsewhere) say that MSU is “inconsistent.” This is a particularly sensitive topic for us Spartan fans, since last year’s team (which scored 36 points in a loss against Iowa and 103 in a win over Indiana) had the very definition of an inconsistent [...]
Turnovers revisited
Posted in stats analysis, tagged turnovers on February 18, 2009 | 11 Comments »
Remember when all we talked about was turnovers? The problem obviously raised its ugly head last night, as MSU posted a horrific turnover percentage of 31.4% against Purdue’s hounding man-to-man defense. I thought we should take a long-term view of the team’s turnover problems. The graph below shows MSU’s game-by-game turnover percentages over the last [...]
