Wednesday Night Links
- Game 25: Michigan State at Michigan Post Game
Dylan on last night’s game. Points out that the series of fairly random events that ended the first half was a pretty big key to the MSU win.
- Two Winners in Michigan
Hoopraker. Not sure our Wolverine friends will agree.
- Better days at Crisler
Eric Lacy on the UM crowd. As I posted in the comments today, I thought the crowd was more impressive in terms of volume (fewer MSU fans) but not all that impressive in terms of intensity.
- Travel costs will not play a larger role in this year’s NCAA tourney
So much for the selection committee sending us straight to Ford Field.
- Wisconsin’s Basketball Rivals
- Fighting an overtime hangover
Why does Purdue struggle after OT losses?
Site New of the I’m-Taking-a-Break Variety
The blogging pace around here has been pretty fast and furious of late, and I’m afraid I’m a little burnt out. Additionally, I have a couple very busy days coming up at work, followed by a long weekend out of town. Conveniently, MSU doesn’t have a game this weekend.
Long story, short: New content will be slim to none until next Monday night, when I should be back to do a preview of the Purdue game. I’ll try to put up a couple Coffee Talk/open thread posts in the meantime.
To Help Make it Up to You, Here’s a Big Dump of Obscure Data
- As a refresher, this stat is an attempt to measure the marginal points per game a player contributes to his team on offense above what a “replacement-level” player would provide.
- Major caveats: (1) Basketball is a team, not an individual, sport and (2) this stat tells you nothing whatsoever about defense.
- I’ve set the pace factor at 62.5 (the average number of possessions in Big Ten games to date). I’ve left replacement level at an offensive rating of 88.0.
- The table below includes all the players that showed up in the StatSheet leaderboards for all three stats. That’s basically every player who’s played at least 40.0% of his team’s minutes in conference play, with a few exceptions.
|Kalin Lucas||So||G||Michigan State||114.7||27.5||83.1||3.82|
|Evan Turner||So||G-F||Ohio State||109.4||28.3||95.1||3.59|
|Talor Battle||So||G||Penn State||107.3||28.3||94.1||3.21|
|Jon Diebler||So||G||Ohio State||120.9||16.0||93.7||3.08|
|William Buford||Fr||G||Ohio State||113.0||20.9||86.1||2.80|
|Goran Suton||Sr||C||Michigan State||120.3||18.4||69.8||2.59|
|Jamelle Cornley||Sr||F||Penn State||107.1||23.3||90.9||2.53|
|Stanley Pringle||Sr||G||Penn State||103.5||24.0||81.6||1.89|
|Durrell Summers||So||G||Michigan State||110.1||22.1||58.5||1.79|
|Jeremie Simmons||Jr||G||Ohio State||109.0||19.9||61.1||1.60|
|B.J. Mullens||Fr||C||Ohio State||105.2||24.5||54.8||1.44|
|Raymar Morgan||Jr||F||Michigan State||114.5||19.9||42.5||1.40|
|Delvon Roe||Fr||F||Michigan State||111.1||19.0||43.8||1.20|
|Ralph Sampson III||Fr||F-C||Minnesota||107.3||15.3||56.3||1.04|
|Chris Allen||So||G||Michigan State||101.1||26.2||46.9||1.01|
|Travis Walton||Sr||G||Michigan State||97.5||12.5||70.8||0.52|
|Danny Morrissey||Sr||G||Penn State||100.0||15.0||45.5||0.51|
|Verdell Jones III||Fr||G||Indiana||90.2||25.0||79.3||0.27|
|Jeff Brooks||So||F||Penn State||85.7||12.4||48.0||(0.08)|
|Dallas Lauderdale||So||F||Ohio State||72.7||11.5||53.0||(0.58)|
- Kalin Lucas is your leader. His FG shooting (43.3%/35.7%) and assist (3.5/game) numbers aren’t all that impressive. Free throw shooting (59-68 in 12 games) appears to be the key factor–and the fact he’s taken on an even larger role in the offense with Raymar Morgan’s illness.
- Talor Battle has faded; he’s made just 1 of 15 three-point attempts in the two games he’s played since scorching us from all over the court.
- MSU is the only team with six players posting 1.0 point or more of PORPAG. Ohio State has five. Not coincidentally, those two teams are #1 and #2 in in-conference offensive efficiency.
- JaJuan Johnson is your highest ranked big man. Phenomenal numbers considering his non-Hummel teammates are all below 1.0. (Hummel’s somewhere above 1.0, even in limited minutes, but I couldn’t extract all the numbers I needed from StatSheet for some odd reason).
- A lot of 3-point shooters in the top ten. Not sure if there’s an additional adjustment to be made using usage rate (%Poss). Taking out the guys with usage rates below 20%, you get a top five of Lucas, Turner, Moore, Battle, and Johnson. Not a bad all-conference team (recognizing, again, that these numbers tell us nothing about defense).
- The fact that Manny Harris is lodged between Chris Kramer and Jon Leuer highlights the fact that you can’t neatly separate out individual performance from team performance in basketball.
Bonus Item Only for People Who Go by the Name “SpartanDan”
SpartanDan, could you drop me an e-mail (firstname.lastname@example.org), or check the e-mail address you use to comment? I have a question for you.
As for the rest of you, enjoy your weekends and rest up for the stretch drive to Tom Izzo’s fifth Big Ten title.